Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.008429 0.009899 0.011660 0.013961 0.016937 0.020733 0.026071
2025-09-21 0.006514 0.008240 0.010546 0.013965 0.019125 0.027030 0.041024
2025-09-28 0.005650 0.007520 0.010216 0.014611 0.022109 0.035586 0.065489
2025-10-05 0.005224 0.007256 0.010388 0.015951 0.026631 0.049307 0.115002
2025-10-12 0.004757 0.006822 0.010165 0.016520 0.029974 0.063142 0.189520
2025-10-19 0.004263 0.006252 0.009590 0.016261 0.031492 0.073965 0.283461
2025-10-26 0.003924 0.005879 0.009277 0.016407 0.034002 0.090142 0.473809
2025-11-02 0.003588 0.005465 0.008812 0.016115 0.035308 0.104100 0.758899
2025-11-09 0.003225 0.004960 0.008105 0.015132 0.034349 0.108747 1.020963
2025-11-16 0.002938 0.004560 0.007544 0.014367 0.033763 0.114939 1.447965
2025-11-23 0.002786 0.004387 0.007403 0.014552 0.036199 0.139764 3.305184
2025-11-30 0.002603 0.004138 0.007077 0.014221 0.036838 0.156439 6.952187
2025-12-07 0.002396 0.003843 0.006656 0.013657 0.036808 0.172423 18.827559
2025-12-14 0.002256 0.003664 0.006460 0.013654 0.038983 0.212691 407.459006
2025-12-21 0.002181 0.003599 0.006493 0.014279 0.044176 0.304687 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002155 0.003627 0.006734 0.015577 0.053673 0.533393 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002081 0.003550 0.006724 0.016127 0.060281 0.830048 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001968 0.003383 0.006482 0.015876 0.062323 1.072755 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001887 0.003275 0.006365 0.016018 0.067092 1.615634 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001792 0.003129 0.006141 0.015735 0.068931 2.165102 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001672 0.002924 0.005749 0.014784 0.065345 2.172895 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001572 0.002753 0.005430 0.014043 0.062967 2.301483 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001521 0.002687 0.005367 0.014221 0.067884 3.945416 NaN